Forecasters are warning of early signs of a potential tropical cyclone developing along the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. A low-pressure system that could bring storms to Florida before moving west has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next several days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

It may or may not develop into a tropical depression, but the system will bring rains and the possibility of flooding. Here's the forecast for New Orleans, Baton Rouge and Lafayette.

The formation chance through 48 hours is medium at 40%, with the same probability maintained through seven days.

Meanwhile, the latest outlook from Colorado State University still points to an above-average hurricane season, but with a slightly less aggressive forecast than earlier projections. The updated forecast has reduced the expected numbers of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes by one in each category.

A disturbance hurricane forecasters were tracking Saturday in the Gulf of Mexico could bring heavy rains to the region next week, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which is expected to be more active than usual, has so far produced three named storms. The latest, Tropical Storm Chantal, impacted the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic states of Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

A disorganized low-pressure area off Florida is showing increasing chances of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm this week.

The majority of computer forecast models curl the system – probably at hurricane strength – northward into the Gulf of Mexico around the middle of next week, according to Weather.com. THE ...

A flood watch will go into effect for much of south Louisiana this week as a slow-moving low-pressure system heads toward the Gulf of Mexico, bringing with it the potential for downpours and flash flooding along the Gulf Coast.