A disturbance near Florida could evolve into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Dexter this week, according to forecasters.

The National Hurricane Center on Tuesday increased its forecast chances a system already dumping rain on Florida could develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm.

The National Hurricane Center is keeping a close eye on a cluster of thunderstorms off the coast of Florida or possible tropical development later this week. The chances of development of a tropical depression or tropical storm off Florida's east coast are increasing,

Unlike Monday, which was a deluge for South Florida, today’s tropical-system-related rain is expected to be more concentrated in the center of the state. The Miami office of the National Weather Service predicts South Florida could see around 1 inch of rain on Tuesday and Wednesday, not enough for any severe flooding.

The Gulf is getting attention once again for the potential of tropical development later this week. Heavy showers and storms expected, regardless.

The system is expected to bring heavy rain and possible flash flooding to parts of Florida through mid-week. A flood watch is in effect for coastal Manatee County until 11 p.m. Tuesday. The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of low pressure that has a moderate chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm as it moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico this week.